Response by Wyre Forest Labour Party to the “Review of Single Site Assumptions” Paper presented to the Transformation Board on 2 November 2010.
Introduction.
One of the main drivers for Council policy for moving to new offices has been the oft stated promise made by the Administration that annual running cost savings of £500k pa (sic) will be achieved for many years to come.
The original figure in the DTZ report of 6 years ago suggested indicative savings of up to £750k pa but, at that time, the proposed project included Green Street in the equation. Now, of course, Green Street is removed and the project is no longer offering the true initial desire of all council services located on a “single site” thus defeating the original intention of what was intended to be the main reason for relocation.
Hence it is our opinion that the inability to provide little more that a new office block without the integrated depot on the same site is a fundamental failure to deliver by the Administration and brings into question the whole purpose, viability and rationale of the projects initial intention.
Revenue Implications.
The report to the Transformation Board sates that “the current estimate for the value of savings to be attributed to the Council’s efforts to rationalise the Office Accommodation is £689K.” However these figures do not hold up under scrutiny and are grossly overstated. The Administration has consistently said that savings to be achieved will be annual and ongoing and generate a positive saving on Council running costs to the benefit of council tax payers. However this is neither true nor is it demonstrated by the breakdown of figures itemised at Annex 1 of the report.
Section 1 – can, in entirety, be removed from the total. “Building Cost savings already achieved” is a reduction in overall current maintenance and is a one off saving this year on work which needs doing now and not again – remove £113k. (It is recognised that each year there may be an element of maintenance savings but the figure shown here can not be presumed to be an annual, ongoing saving.)
Vacation of New Street offices – this was done 12 months ago and staff moved elsewhere after redundancy and downsizing during 2009-10 financial year. It did not take place as a result of single site since, had single site not gone ahead, those offices would already have been vacated and by now, could already have been sold. – remove £70k
Termination of Vicar Street Offices – vacated in 2004 and lease ended this year, as it would have anyway – its happening is totally unrelated to single site and the same comment as above applies – remove £92k
Section 3 – Administrative Review Savings – that is already going ahead now and is unrelated directly to Single Site – it has an indirect relationship as part of reorganisation but would be completed irrespective of whether or not new offices are occupied – remove £200k.
Total removed as irrelevant to single site = £475k out of £688k – leaves direct annual gross savings of £213k pa.
In Section 2 it is not made clear whether these are gross figures without adding back similar costs at the new site or whether that has already been taken into account – that may reduce these particular savings figures even more since, obviously, some of the overhead costs currently incurred will still need to be paid, in reduced form at new offices.
No figures have been included for the loss of interest on over £7m of capital held on deposit which, as income, is added to the revenue account to support the Budget – that will be permanently lost and current compound interest is about £75k pa. However, since the money will not be spent until 2012 the interest lost then is likely to be higher if estimates of expected interest at that time are accurate.
Bridging over 3 years is at 2.21% if taken from the Public Works Loan Board borrowing fund – therefore £2.5m borrowed attracts interest of over £50k pa. However if the offices don’t sell in that time (3 years) the interest rate goes up significantly and will be back dated to the higher interest rate of 4.18% for the entire loan term – so interest charged could be much higher. Hence, at least £125k in total needs to be deducted from the annual savings of £213k, since the direct consequence of spending Capital and borrowing money is totally relevant to the costings involved in building new offices.
That leaves an estimated net save on Single Site of £88k pa.
Additional to this, of course, is the fact that the new cemetery funding is inextricably linked and funds set aside for single site are, apparently, being used short term to finance the cemetery development. However, if borrowing takes place against the cemetery to release back into single site those transferred funds, then the interest charged on that cemetery borrowing also becomes a direct cost against single site and must be deducted from the savings. The rationale for that is that if single site was not going ahead, Capital Reserves earmarked for single site would be used to finance the cemetery without the need for borrowing.
Risks
It is disappointing that the report to which this response refers lacks balance and only promotes the positives. It lists Non Financial Benefits but fails to address the Risks, both financial and operational, still highly evident in the project. Many of these operational project risks and weaknesses were outlined in a report prepared by CABE (Government Commission for Architecture and the Built Environment) which have not been publically commented on by the Administration. However since this response relates solely to financing, a substantive response to this issue will be subject of a second report. A balanced report would, as a matter of course, have highlighted the many risks and negative aspects present in this project.
Serious financial risks are still very evident in the project, which have been totally overlooked in the report. One of the most serious of these is the potential inability to sell the offices whose sale is needed to fund about 30% of the project cost. Neither Coventry Street or New Street have been sold after a year on the market and, in the current economic climate, it is a reasonable assumption (risk) that other premises being offered will also be slow to sell. This could lead to bridging loans being needed for well over 3 year leading to a higher rate of interest at a cost to the council tax payer and a drain on Council finances in a time of restraint and cuts. The level of vacant office space in Wyre Forest and the limited options for the use of current civic offices should be viewed by the Administration as a potentially serious and worrying risk.
Also, the report offers no cash flow or project expenditure timeline – a serious omission. It just presents a flat list of expenditure with no schedule of spend – this is essential to estimate the effect on Council funding and would also include the estimated level of interest received on deposits or interest charged at the point in time of actual expenditure. The interest assumptions are based on “now,” not what might happen over the next two or three years and seriously underestimates the inherent risks in a rising interest rate.
Conclusion
Financially therefore, in our opinion, no justifiable case for proceeding with single site has been made financially. The savings suggested are grossly over estimated and the drain on Council’s financial resources is fraught with risks and unsustainable and unachievable assumptions.
Even now at this late stage of project planning, no firm information is set in stone. Reports still refer to “estimates” and “assumptions” which, when it relates to the expenditure of over £10.5m of public money seems to border on unacceptable risk taking and a leap of faith that is neither rational nor justified by the facts available.
It seems that everything is being weighted in favour of justifying the desire of the Administration to proceed with this project and the immense and persuasive negatives are being intentionally ignored. As more and more information becomes available we are increasingly of that collective opinion.
We ask other Groups and Members individually to support and endorse this paper in the interests of the residents of Wyre Forest.
Labour Party, WFDC
November 2010
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